Bitcoin forms historic “death cross”!

The 50-week simple moving average (SMA) of the world’s largest crypto has now sunken below its 200-week counterpart.

This is the first such technical instance in Bitcoin’s history which began its existence in 2009.

This weekly “death cross” is seen as a bearish signal, suggesting that more price declines are ahead.

It’s also in stark contrast to the “golden cross” on the daily charts when its 50-day SMA crossed above its 200-day counterpart, which we highlighted earlier this month.

 

Bitcoin hunts for catalyst to punch past $25k

While the daily chart’s “golden cross” and the weekly chart’s “death cross” might be offering up contrasting signals, at least the “death cross” might be the reason for Bitcoin’s recent consolidation around the $25,000 mark.

Amid the swirling uncertainty surrounding broader risk assets, Bitcoin but has so far refused to register a daily close about that psychologically-important $25k level, despite coming tantalisingly close in recent sessions.

It’s also somewhat telling that Bitcoin has been resisted around its 200-week SMA for the time being.

Following that massive leg up on February 15^th, perhaps due to a short squeeze, Bitcoin is now bidding its time amid an apparent indecision for the direction of its next big move.

 

Bitcoin set for immediate pullback?

Amid the perceived struggles to overcome the $25k hurdle, another technical indicator may signal a near-term pullback.

Bitcoin’s 14-day relative strength index (RSI) has now touched the 70 threshold which marks “overbought” territory.

Although it’s jarringly notable that the 14-day RSI surged past 90, well into overbought territory, during Bitcoin’s stellar start to the year without a notable pullback.

Bitcoin bulls will be hoping that this period of consolidation around $25k would actually set a stronger base for its next leg up, rather than first needing a technical pullback.

 

Crypto fallout still reverberates through sector

Casting our sights away from the charts for a bit, the woes in this highly-speculative sector are still evident, and we have been documenting some of these headlines in this weekly crypto article.

Here are just some of the latest ones:

• The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is suing Terraform Labs and its co-founder, Do Kwon, of fraud which caused US$40 billion in losses.
  
  This marks a major step by authorities following the collapse of TerraUSD a.k.a. UST, which lost its 1-to-1 peg to the US Dollar back in May and triggered a tsunami of bankruptcies across the crypto world, and is still being felt till this day.
  
  At the time of writing, TerraUSD is valued at just $0.029.
   
• Galois Capital, a crypto investment firm, is shuttering its flagship fund which lost half its assets in the FTX “disaster”.

 

Despite such worrisome developments, at least Bitcoin’s demonstrated ability of late to hold firm around the $25k mark, along with its year-to-date surge of more than 50%, indicates that crypto has so far been able to weather such negative headlines surrounding the sector.

Perhaps of more immediate concern for Bitcoin bulls, they must also look past that weekly “death cross” and the flashing “overbought” indicator to secure a meaningful and sustained presence above $25k.

Such an achievement over the immediate term might even be the required catalyst for Bitcoin’s next leg up.